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Washington D.C. | June 2026

Home Demand Index

The Home Demand Index (HDI) for the Washington DC metro area stands at 81 for this report period, down from 102 last month and below the 106 recorded during the same period one year ago. The twenty-one-point month-over-month decline signals a meaningful reversal from the spring recovery trajectory, as the demand momentum that had been building through the winter and spring months has rolled over more sharply than the prior-year seasonal pattern would suggest — a development consistent with the peak selling season reaching its ceiling and broader affordability and financing pressures reasserting themselves as buyer urgency fades entering early summer. The twenty-five-point year-over-year deficit is the widest annual gap observed for the DC metro in the current reporting cycle, indicating that the region is entering the summer period at a structurally softer level than the same period last year, with the market’s sensitivity to federal sector employment dynamics and elevated home prices contributing to a more cautious buyer posture than the underlying demand fundamentals of the region might otherwise support.
Demand by home type in the Washington DC metro during this report period reflects a broad cooling trend across segments, with varying levels of softness observed throughout the market. Entry-level single-family homes register 68, reflecting the weakest segment and continued pressure from affordability constraints, while the mid-range segment at 76 also indicates softer conditions in the core move-up market. In contrast, luxury single-family homes at 104 show comparatively more resilience, suggesting steadier high-end demand relative to other segments. Entry-level condos at 93 and luxury condos at 95 reflect more stable attached housing conditions relative to single-family segments, though still at softer levels overall. Townhomes and rowhouses at 83 indicate broadly slower activity, aligning with a metro-wide cooling pattern and pointing to a more cautious and measured market environment this report period.
Monthly Statistics for June 2026
Home Demand
Index
81
(Slow)
Home Demand Index
from prior month
102
Home Demand Index
from prior year
106
Index change
from prior month
-20.6%
Index change from
same time last year
-23.6%
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Washington D.C. | June 2026

Home Demand Index | Historical Year-over-Year Comparison

Over the past 12 months, the Washington DC metro’s Home Demand Index followed its characteristic seasonal trajectory — reaching a peak at 102 in April before declining through the fall and bottoming in the low 50s in December, followed by a measured recovery through January, February, and March that culminated in April before reversing in the current period. The current reading of 81 represents a twenty-one-point decline from last month’s 102, interrupting a recovery arc that had been among the more convincing of the three metros covered in this report, and suggesting that the seasonal demand ceiling arrived earlier and with greater force than the prior-year trajectory implied — a pattern that may reflect the DC market’s particular sensitivity to policy-driven household mobility and federal employment uncertainty in addition to the structural affordability and rate headwinds shaping demand across the broader region. At 81, the index trails the 106 posted at this point last year by twenty-five points, a gap that represents the widest year-over-year shortfall in the current cycle for this metro and indicates that Washington DC’s summer 2026 demand entry point is tracking at a materially softer absolute level than the same period last year, underscoring that the spring recovery, while real, peaked in April and did not carry forward into May before seasonal demand forces turned.

Home Demand Index

Bright MLS | T3 Home Demand Index

www.homedemandindex.com

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Washington D.C. | June 2026

Home Demand Map

Regional demand across the Washington DC metro is softening broadly this period, with the metro-wide index at 81 and compressing the performance differential between stronger and weaker submarkets as buyer engagement retreats across geographies following the spring peak. Arlington County and Falls Church City in Northern Virginia continue to lead the metro, supported by strong employment fundamentals, established move-up demand pipelines, and competitive inventory dynamics — while both remain in High demand conditions, alongside Alexandria City, which is holding at a Moderate level and continues to show relatively stronger performance versus the broader metro backdrop. Fairfax County is tracking at a Steady level, reflecting more balanced conditions, while Loudoun County, Fairfax City, Washington, DC, and Montgomery County are all in Slow conditions, indicating broad-based cooling across core urban and suburban markets. Prince George’s County is also in Slow conditions, while Frederick County registers the weakest demand at a Limited level, with Maryland corridor and outer suburban markets exhibiting the most pronounced demand softening as affordability pressures and commute dynamics intersect with the broader seasonal pullback to suppress buyer engagement at the metro’s outer ring.
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Washington D.C. | June 2026

Demand and Inventory by Home Type

Demand by home type in the Washington DC metro during this report period reflects a broad cooling trend across segments, with varying levels of softness observed throughout the market. Entry-level single-family homes register 68, reflecting the weakest segment and continued pressure from affordability constraints, while the mid-range segment at 76 also indicates softer conditions in the core move-up market. In contrast, luxury single-family homes at 104 show comparatively more resilience, suggesting steadier high-end demand relative to other segments. Entry-level condos at 93 and luxury condos at 95 reflect more stable attached housing conditions relative to single-family segments, though still at softer levels overall. Townhomes and rowhouses at 83 indicate broadly slower activity, aligning with a metro-wide cooling pattern and pointing to a more cautious and measured market environment this report period.
Bright MLS | T3 Home Demand Index

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Washington D.C. | June 2026

Single Family Home Below $580k

The index for entry-level single-family homes in the Washington DC metro stands at 68 this report period, declining sharply from 90 in the previous month and falling below the 81 recorded one year ago. The pronounced month-over-month drop signals a clear slowdown in near-term demand activity, while the year-over-year comparison also points to softer underlying momentum relative to last year. Overall conditions indicate a weakened entry-level segment, where affordability constraints and reduced buyer participation are contributing to the limited pace of demand.
Monthly Statistics for Single Family Home Below $580k
Home Demand
Index
68
(Limited)
Home Demand Index
from prior month
90
Home Demand Index
from prior year
81
Months of
inventory
2.7
Average daily inventory last month
1,286
Inventory sold
last month
479
Bright MLS | T3 Home Demand Index

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Washington D.C. | June 2026

Single Family Home $580k - $1400k

Mid-range single-family homes in the Washington DC metro registered an index of 76 this report period, down from 94 last month and below the 104 recorded one year ago. The month-over-month decline reflects a cooling in move-up demand following the prior period’s stronger activity, indicating softer buyer engagement during this report period. The year-over-year gap further highlights that current conditions remain well below prior levels, suggesting continued pressure from affordability constraints, elevated financing costs, and more selective purchasing behavior within the mid-range segment.
Monthly Statistics for Single Family Home $580k - $1400k
Home Demand
Index
76
(Slow)
Home Demand Index
from prior month
94
Home Demand Index
from prior year
104
Months of
Inventory
1.7
Average daily inventory last month
2,533
Inventory sold
last month
1,470
Bright MLS | T3 Home Demand Index

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Washington D.C. | June 2026

Single Family Home Above $1400k

The index for luxury single-family homes in the Washington DC metro stands at 104 this report period, down from 137 last month and below the 161 recorded one year ago. The decline from the previous report period reflects a loss of momentum in the high-end segment after a stronger prior performance, signaling that activity has eased rather than continued its recent strength. Compared to last year, conditions remain notably weaker, pointing to a more restrained luxury market where higher price sensitivity and economic uncertainty continue to limit sustained growth in demand.
Monthly Statistics for Single Family Home Above $1400k
Home Demand
Index
104
(Steady)
Home Demand Index
from prior month
137
Home Demand Index
from prior year
161
Months of
Inventory
2.2
Average daily inventory last month
1,029
Inventory sold
last month
472
Bright MLS | T3 Home Demand Index

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Washington D.C. | June 2026

Condo Below $600k

Entry-level condo demand in the Washington DC metro stands at 93 this report period, down from 119 last month and below last year’s level of 122. The month-over-month decline reflects a clear slowdown in buyer activity following the previous period’s stronger pace, indicating reduced momentum in the lower-priced condo segment. Year-over-year comparison also shows softer conditions, suggesting that affordability constraints, timing shifts, or broader market hesitation may be influencing activity. Despite the decline, demand remains in the steady category, signaling that entry-level condo interest continues to persist, even as overall engagement has eased compared to prior periods.
Monthly Statistics for Condo Below $600k
Home Demand
Index
93
(Steady)
Home Demand Index
from prior month
119
Home Demand Index
from prior year
122
Months of
Inventory
4.7
Average daily inventory last month
3,271
Inventory sold
last month
698
Bright MLS | T3 Home Demand Index

www.homedemandindex.com

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Washington D.C. | June 2026

Condo Above $600k

Luxury condo demand in the Washington DC metro registered 95 this report period, down from 129 last month and below last year’s level of 144. The thirty-four-point month-over-month decline signals a meaningful pullback in high-end condo buyer activity following the spring peak, consistent with the lifestyle-driven and downsizing demand patterns that characterize this segment as initial buyer urgency recedes and available premium inventory is absorbed through the active spring period. At 95, demand now sits notably below the prior-year level, indicating that the luxury condo segment has shifted into a softer year-over-year position as post-spring normalization deepens — a development that warrants monitoring through the summer months to determine whether the current softening represents a seasonal adjustment or a more sustained shift in the demand posture of affluent urban condo buyers in the DC metro.
Monthly Statistics for Condo Above $600k
Home Demand
Index
95
(Steady)
Home Demand Index
from prior month
129
Home Demand Index
from prior year
144
Months of
Inventory
4.8
Average daily inventory last month
586
Inventory sold
last month
121
Bright MLS | T3 Home Demand Index

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Washington D.C. | June 2026

Townhouse/Rowhouse/Twin All prices

Townhouse/
Rowhouse/Twin
All prices

The index for townhouses, rowhouses, and twin homes in the Washington DC metro stands at 83 this report period, down from 102 last month and below last year’s level of 101. The nineteen-point month-over-month decline reflects a meaningful cooling in attached single-family demand following the spring peak, consistent with this segment settling into a more measured pace as buyer urgency dissipates and the market transitions from peak-season conditions into early summer. The eighteen-point year-over-year shortfall indicates the segment is tracking below the same period last year, though at 83 it retains relative resilience within the broader DC metro context and continues to benefit from its established appeal among buyers seeking a combination of space, location accessibility, and relative price efficiency in a high-cost market where detached single-family affordability remains a persistent structural constraint.
Monthly Statistics for Townhouse/Rowhouse/TwinAll prices
Home Demand
Index
83
(Slow)
Home Demand Index
from prior month
102
Home Demand Index
from prior year
101
Months of
Inventory
2.5
Average daily inventory last month
3,640
Inventory sold
last month
1,460
Bright MLS | T3 Home Demand Index

www.homedemandindex.com

Note

1. This report is generated with data from the following counties:
  • Maryland-West Virginia Panhandle – Allegany, MD; Berkeley, WV; Garrett, MD; Grant, WV; Hampshire, WV; Hardy, WV; Jefferson, WV; Mineral, WV; Morgan, WV; Pendleton, WV; Washington, MD;
  • North Central Virginia – Caroline, VA; Clarke, VA; Culpeper, VA; Fauquier, VA; Frederick, VA; Fredericksburg City, VA; King George, VA; Madison, VA; Manassas City, VA; Orange, VA; Page, VA; Prince William, VA; Rappahannock, VA; Shenandoah, VA; Spotsylvania, VA; Stafford, VA; Warren, VA; Winchester City, VA;
  • Southern Maryland – Calvert, MD; Charles, MD; Saint Marys, MD;
  • Washington D.C. Metro – Alexandria City, VA; Arlington, VA; Fairfax, VA; Falls Church City, VA; Frederick, MD; Loudoun, VA; Montgomery, MD; Prince Georges, MD; Washington, DC;
2. This report is for the June 2026 period with data collected from the previous month.
Released: June 10, 2026
Reference ID: 2438

Washington D.C. | June 2026

Home Demand Map (Zip Codes)

Regional demand across the Washington DC metro is softening broadly this period, with the metro-wide index at 81 and compressing the performance differential between stronger and weaker submarkets as buyer engagement retreats across geographies following the spring peak. Arlington County and Falls Church City in Northern Virginia continue to lead the metro, supported by strong employment fundamentals, established move-up demand pipelines, and competitive inventory dynamics — while both remain in High demand conditions, alongside Alexandria City, which is holding at a Moderate level and continues to show relatively stronger performance versus the broader metro backdrop. Fairfax County is tracking at a Steady level, reflecting more balanced conditions, while Loudoun County, Fairfax City, Washington, DC, and Montgomery County are all in Slow conditions, indicating broad-based cooling across core urban and suburban markets. Prince George’s County is also in Slow conditions, while Frederick County registers the weakest demand at a Limited level, with Maryland corridor and outer suburban markets exhibiting the most pronounced demand softening as affordability pressures and commute dynamics intersect with the broader seasonal pullback to suppress buyer engagement at the metro’s outer ring.
Bright MLS | T3 Home Demand Index

www.homedemandindex.com

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